The Fed's stress tests on the banks will require lenders to show they can withstand a "Severely Adverse Scenario:" a recession in which unemployment rises by over 400 bps, GDP declines 5%, equity prices fall more than 50% (along with the VIX jumping 70%), and residential and commercial property values slump over 20%. It sounds harsh, but it's still not as bad as what happened from 2007-09. Capital plans are due on Jan. 7.
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